Copa Sudamericana
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Aug 31, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT :
1
0
FT
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
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-
Pedro Augusto
5'
-
Guilherme
22'
-
Marinho
45'+1'
-
Marinho
66'
-
Javier Mendez
13'
-
Everaldo
30'
-
Rodriguinho
53'
-
Breno
89'
Fortaleza vs America Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
Result
Fortaleza
61.17%
▲
(+1.89)
Draw
22.05%
▼
(-0.19)
America Mineiro
16.79%
▼
(-1.71)
Both Teams to Score:
48.9%
▼
(-2.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.48%
▼
(-1.92)
Under 2.5
48.52%
▲
(+1.93)
Over 3.5
29.36%
▼
(-1.78)
Under 3.5
70.64%
▲
(+1.78)
Over 4.5
14.23%
▼
(-1.24)
Under 4.5
85.77%
▲
(+1.23)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5
84.62%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
15.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
55.83%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
44.17%
▲
(+0.06)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5
57.79%
▼
(-3.17)
Under 0.5
42.21%
▲
(+3.17)
Over 1.5
21.38%
▼
(-2.86)
Under 1.5
78.62%
▲
(+2.86)
Score analysis
Fortaleza
61.16%
Draw
22.04%
America Mineiro
16.79%
Fortaleza
1-0
@
12.15%
▲
(+0.92)
2-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.85)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.25)
4-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.27)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 61.16%
2-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.85)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.25)
4-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.27)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 61.16%
Draw
1-1
@
10.48%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.50)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.43)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.04%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.50)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.43)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.04%
America Mineiro
0-1
@
5.6%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.45)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.79%
1-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.45)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.79%
Head to Head
Copa Sudamericana
Aug 24, 2023 11.00pm
1
3
HT :
0
3
FT
Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
-
Daniel Borges
45'+2'
-
Gonzalo Mastriani
69'
-
Esteban Burgos
82'
-
Caio Alexandre
0'
-
Guilherme
15'
-
Tomas Pochettino
21'
-
Guilherme
41'
-
Juan Pablo Vojvoda
46'
-
Joao Ricardo
79'
-
Caio Alexandre
90'+2'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
7
-
Breno
2'
-
Felipe Azevedo
33'
-
Tomas Pochettino
26'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
32
-
Wellington Paulista
90'
-
Wellington Paulista
90'+1'
-
Thiago Galhardo
34'
-
Thiago Galhardo
83'
-
Thiago Galhardo
83'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
13
-
Yago Pikachu
43'
-
Brayan Ceballos
75'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
29
-
Ademir
42'
-
Felipe Azevedo
84'
-
David
50'
-
Matheus Jussa
58'
-
Titi
63'
-
Lucas Lima
66'
-
Romarinho
77'
-
Ederson
81'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
10
-
Ederson
45'+2'
-
David
56'
-
David
62'
-
Felipe
80'
-
Igor Torres
84'
-
Ederson
85'
-
Carlos Alberto
89'