Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Sep 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Olimpia
1 - 3
Fluminense

Zavala (44', 44')
Cardozo (52'), Cardozo (52'), Salazar (55'), Salazar (55'), Fernandez (73'), Fernandez (73'), Ortiz (76'), Ortiz (76')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Kennedy (24', 24'), Cano (80', 80', 90+1', 90+1')
Melo (45+2'), Melo (45+2'), Fabio (70'), Fabio (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Olimpia and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Olimpia
Friday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Fluminense

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Olimpia	Draw	Fluminense
30.68% ( 0.63)	25.12% ( 0)	44.21% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 55.65% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35% (

0.26)

47.65% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

0.24)

69.85% (

-0.24)

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95% (

0.56)

29.05% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04% (

0.69)

64.95% (

-0.69)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

-0.18)

21.56% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.36% (

-0.27)

54.64% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Olimpia 30.68%

Fluminense 44.21%

Draw 25.11%

Olimpia	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.68%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.21%