Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.