Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 25, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 0
Olimpia

Andre (43', 43'), Cano (59', 59')
Kennedy (87'), Kennedy (87'), Nino (89'), Nino (89'), Lele (90+1'), Lele (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonzalez (24'), Gonzalez (24'), Cardozo (80'), Cardozo (80'), Gamarra (86'), Gamarra (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Olimpia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 3-1 America Mineiro
Saturday, August 19 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Olimpia

All competitions
Last Game: Olimpia 3-1 Flamengo
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result
FluminenseDrawOlimpia
61.02% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.29% (0.068999999999999 0.07)16.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.97% (-0.288 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.342 -0.34)49.66% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.306 -0.31)71.68% (0.307 0.31)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-0.12299999999999 -0.12)15.81% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-0.229 -0.23)44.98% (0.231 0.23)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.98% (-0.26 -0.26)43.02% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.69% (-0.217 -0.22)79.31% (0.217 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 61.02%
    Olimpia 16.69%
    Draw 22.28%
FluminenseDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.57% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.11% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 61.02%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.095 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 16.69%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Olimpia

Fluminense
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Olimpia
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2022 12.30am
Third Round 2nd Leg
Olimpia
2-0
Fluminense
 Olimpia win 4-1 on penalties
Cardozo (15'), Ortiz (20'), Olveira (69'), Gomez (77'), Salcedo (84'), Paiva (90')
Braz (71'), Cristiano (72')
Nino (80')
Mar 10, 2022 12.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Fluminense
3-1
Olimpia
Cano (43'), Andre (90+3'), Braz (90+4')
Salcedo (27'), Salazar (40'), Olveira (42'), Ortiz (45+2'), Torres (54'), Alcaraz (90+5')