Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
America Mineiro

Fortaleza
3 - 2
America Mineiro

Martin Lucero (31'), Machuca (56'), Pacheco (68')
Britez (16'), Machuca (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mastriani (18' pen., 23')
Silva (41')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and America Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, October 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

America Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawAmerica Mineiro
61.01% (-1.425 -1.43)22.14% (0.24 0.24)16.86% (1.19 1.19)
Both teams to score 48.76% (1.772 1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.22% (1.044 1.04)48.78% (-1.04 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (0.942 0.94)70.88% (-0.937 -0.94)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (-0.113 -0.11)15.52% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (-0.215 -0.21)44.43% (0.221 0.22)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.72% (2.176 2.18)42.28% (-2.17 -2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.32% (1.818 1.82)78.68% (-1.814 -1.81)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 61%
    America Mineiro 16.86%
    Draw 22.13%
FortalezaDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-0 @ 11.38% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 7.07% (-0.398 -0.4)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.165 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.073 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 61%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.282 0.28)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.163 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.86%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 11pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Fortaleza
2-1
America Mineiro
Guilherme (22'), Marinho (66')
Augusto (5'), Marinho (45+1')
Breno (89')
Mendez (13'), Everaldo (30'), Rodriguinho (53')
> Preview
Aug 24, 2023 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
America Mineiro
1-3
Fortaleza
Mastriani (69')
Borges (45+2'), Burgos (82')
Guilherme (15', 41'), Pochettino (21')
Alexandre (0'), Pablo Vojvoda (46'), Ricardo (79'), Alexandre (90+2')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
America Mineiro
2-1
Fortaleza
Breno (2'), Azevedo (33')
Avelar (16'), Marques (53'), Marcinho (60'), Kal (88')
Pochettino (26')
Ceballos (23'), Moises (45')
Oct 16, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 32
America Mineiro
1-2
Fortaleza
Paulista (90+1' pen.)
Galhardo (34', 83')
Jun 19, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 13
Fortaleza
1-0
America Mineiro
Pikachu (43')
Ceballos (75')
> Preview