Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza3 - 2America Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and America Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, October 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, October 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | America Mineiro |
61.01% ( -1.43) | 22.14% ( 0.24) | 16.86% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.76% ( 1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
