Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Vasco da Gama
43.25% ( -0)	26.53%	30.22%

Both teams to score 50.89% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28% (

-0)

53.73% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.79% (

-0)

75.21% (

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35% (

-0)

24.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.84% (

-0)

59.16% (

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

-0)

32.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

-0)

68.99% (

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 43.24%

Vasco da Gama 30.22%

Draw 26.53%

America Mineiro	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.24%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.22%