Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Vasco da Gama

Bahia
1 - 1
Vasco

Ademir (45')
Gilberto (20'), Hugo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vegetti (63' pen.)
Pele (41'), Medel (72'), Vitor (90+8')
Jair (90+4')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawVasco da Gama
51.38% (0.477 0.48)24.52% (0.044 0.04)24.09% (-0.525 -0.52)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-0.692 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (-0.646 -0.65)49.52% (0.641 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (-0.583 -0.58)71.55% (0.57900000000001 0.58)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)19.26% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)50.99% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (-0.812 -0.81)35.12% (0.808 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (-0.857 -0.86)71.87% (0.85299999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 51.38%
    Vasco da Gama 24.09%
    Draw 24.51%
BahiaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.09%

Head to Head
May 2, 2023 12am
Gameweek 3
Vasco
0-1
Bahia
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vasco
0-0
Bahia
Benitez (16')
Castan (80')
Danielzinho (17'), Gilberto (45'), Rossi (90+9')
Oct 7, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
3-0
Vasco
Rossi (10'), Gilberto (32'), Clayson (45+1')
Gregore (45+2'), Rossi (56'), Ramon (76')

Henrique (20'), Gomes (44'), Pec (77')
Gomes (67')
Dec 5, 2019 10.15pm
Gameweek 37
Bahia
1-1
Vasco
Gilberto (45' pen.)
Flavio (71'), Arthur (80'), Friedrich (91')
Arthur (82')
Marrony (85')
Richard (42'), Bastos (89')
Graca (43')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Vasco
0-2
Bahia

Henrique (47'), Junior (69'), Pikachu (73')
Paraiba (56'), Gilberto (61')
Elber (45')