Brasileiro | Gameweek 20

Aug 20, 2023 at 3pm UK

Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Serginho (5')
Paulinho (44'), Praxedes (54'), Serginho (57'), Dias (79'), Medel (89'), Pele (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Battaglia (45+4'), Jemerson (61'), Saravia (65')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Vasco
Tuesday, August 15 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
37.04% ( 1.36)	28.7% ( 0.27)	34.26% ( -1.63)

Both teams to score 45.67% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.17% (

-1.01)

60.82% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.14% (

-0.76)

80.86% (

0.76)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

0.35)

31.51% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

0.41)

67.9% (

-0.41)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

-1.59)

33.32% (

1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

-1.79)

69.93% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 37.04%

Atletico Mineiro 34.25%

Draw 28.69%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.04%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.69%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.25%