Cruzeiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
America Mineiro

Cruzeiro
1 - 1
America Mineiro

Castan (21')
Jussa (30'), Wesley (38'), Rodrigues (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Benitez (28')
Burgos (18'), Aguerre (81'), Egea (90+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and America Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

America Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-1 Vasco
Tuesday, September 26 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
CruzeiroDrawAmerica Mineiro
56.15% (0.726 0.73)23.47% (0.132 0.13)20.37% (-0.862 -0.86)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-1.677 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-1.599 -1.6)49.19% (1.596 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (-1.46 -1.46)71.26% (1.458 1.46)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.319 -0.32)17.33% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.29% (-0.559 -0.56)47.71% (0.557 0.56)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.787 -1.79)38.5% (1.784 1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-1.746 -1.75)75.25% (1.742 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 56.14%
    America Mineiro 20.37%
    Draw 23.47%
CruzeiroDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.63 0.63)
2-0 @ 10.24% (0.442 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.425 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.25 -0.25)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.109 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.37%

Head to Head
May 14, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
America Mineiro
0-4
Cruzeiro
Dourado (33'), Marlon (70'), Gilberto (84', 90+1')
Nov 4, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 32
America Mineiro
1-2
Cruzeiro
Moura (71' pen.)
Ricardo (25'), Juninho (48'), Luan (82')
De Arrascaeta (18'), Neves (50' pen.)
Egidio (70')
Jul 19, 2018 11.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cruzeiro
3-1
America Mineiro
De Arrascaeta (35'), Robinho (60'), Raniel (65')
Henrique (69'), Mendes (83'), Cabral (93')
Savio (32')
Silva (45')