/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fgrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fcrulog.png)
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Luis Suarez
29'
-
Felipe Carballo
54'
-
Luis Suarez
68'
-
Cuiabano
69'
-
Pepe
78'
-
Gabriel Grando
88'
-
Fabio Da Silva
89'
-
Neris
38'
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Marlon
45'+5'
-
Machado
82'
Gremio vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
Result
Gremio
40.75%
▼
(-3.48)
Draw
24.85%
▲
(+0.98)
Cruzeiro
34.39%
▲
(+2.51)
Both Teams to Score:
57.94%
▼
(-2.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.72%
▼
(-3.77)
Under 2.5
45.28%
▲
(+3.78)
Over 3.5
32.38%
▼
(-3.71)
Under 3.5
67.62%
▲
(+3.72)
Over 4.5
16.35%
▼
(-2.74)
Under 4.5
83.65%
▲
(+2.75)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
77.83%
▼
(-3.16)
Under 0.5
22.17%
▲
(+3.16)
Over 1.5
44.43%
▼
(-4.99)
Under 1.5
55.57%
▲
(+5.00)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
74.44%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
25.56%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
39.58%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
60.42%
▲
(+0.43)
Score analysis
Gremio
40.76%
Draw
24.85%
Cruzeiro
34.39%
Gremio
2-1
@
8.77%
▼
(-0.34)
1-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.57)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.64)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.44)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.47)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.44)
4-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.31)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.76%
1-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.57)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.64)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.44)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.47)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.44)
4-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.31)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.76%
Draw
1-1
@
11.64%
▲
(+0.68)
2-2 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.29)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.87)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
2-2 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.29)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.87)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
Cruzeiro
1-2
@
7.94%
▲
(+0.40)
0-1 @ 7.73% ▲ (+1.13)
0-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.73)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.32)
1-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 34.39%
0-1 @ 7.73% ▲ (+1.13)
0-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.73)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.32)
1-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 34.39%
Egidio
92'