Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Aug 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Gremio

Santos
2 - 1
Gremio

Leonardo (63'), Furch (90')
Joaquim (16'), Leonardo (64'), Soteldo (72'), Vicente Aguirre Camblor (90+2'), Furch (90+1'), Dodo (90+7'), Paulo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cristaldo (46')
Reinaldo (16'), Da Silva (43'), Ely (86'), Martins (90+4'), Alves (90+5')
Reinaldo (90+2'), Portaluppi (90+3')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-0 Santos
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, August 17 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Santos had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawGremio
35.25% (1.311 1.31)28.36% (0.451 0.45)36.39% (-1.766 -1.77)
Both teams to score 46.71% (-1.212 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.42% (-1.553 -1.55)59.58% (1.55 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08% (-1.209 -1.21)79.91% (1.204 1.2)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.069000000000003 0.07)32.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.079999999999998 0.08)68.48% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (-1.854 -1.85)31.29% (1.85 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-2.206 -2.21)67.64% (2.205 2.21)
Score Analysis
    Santos 35.24%
    Gremio 36.38%
    Draw 28.35%
SantosDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.395 0.4)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.24%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 10.01% (0.565 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.327 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.38%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Gremio
1-0
Santos
Pedro (44')
Oct 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 25
Santos
1-0
Gremio
Leonardo (90+2')
Baptistao (45+1'), Jonatan (90+3'), Sanchez (90+6'), Tardelli (90+6')

Rodrigues (9'), Thiago (32'), Costa (45+2'), Kannemann (47'), Silva (67'), Rafinha (72')
Rafinha (90+8')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 6
Gremio
2-2
Santos
Souza (4'), Pereira (44')
Souza (22'), Ferreira (68')
Guilherme (29'), Marinho (78')
Camacho (49'), Mota (56'), Marinho (90+6')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
3-3
Santos
Souza (37' pen.), Pyerre (46'), Pepe (53')
Kannemann (66'), Souza (68'), Henrique (85'), Ferraz (90+2'), Fernando (90+4')
Jorge (8'), Arthur (67' pen.), Madson (90+6' pen.)
Sandry (13'), Madson (70')
Sandry (87')
Dec 16, 2020 10.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Santos
4-1
Gremio
Jorge (1', 54'), Marinho (16'), Solda (83')
John (12'), Guilherme (72'), Bruninho (90+3')
Thaciano (81')
Kannemann (26'), Pinares (53'), Pepe (60'), Souza (90+1')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!