Brasileiro | Gameweek 24

Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
1 - 0
Cruzeiro

Fernandez (67', 67')
Nino (34'), Nino (34'), Melo (39'), Melo (39'), Keno (82'), Keno (82'), Andre (85'), Fabio (88'), Fabio (88'), Marcelo (90'), Marcelo (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wesley (30'), Wesley (30'), Zanetti Toledo (85')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Vasco 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Last Game: Santos 0-3 Cruzeiro
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Cruzeiro
50.57% ( -0.11)	24.67% ( 0.03)	24.76% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.61% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.43% (

-0.07)

49.57% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

-0.07)

71.59% (

0.07)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.39% (

-0.08)

19.61% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44% (

-0.12)

51.55% (

0.12)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.44% (

0.03)

34.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.72% (

0.03)

71.28% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 50.57%

Cruzeiro 24.76%

Draw 24.67%

Fluminense	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.57%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.76%