Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Sep 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
1 - 1
Fortaleza

(Fortaleza win 3-1 on aggregate)

Alberto (40', 40')
Verissimo (38'), Verissimo (38'), Moscardo (63'), Moscardo (63'), Augusto (90+5'), Augusto (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Welison (22', 22')
Britez (57'), Britez (57'), Guilherme (67'), Guilherme (67'), Pacheco (88'), Pacheco (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Corinthians and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Fortaleza
46.02% ( -0.01)	27.08% ( -0)	26.9% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.35% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.66% (

0.02)

57.34% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.84% (

0.02)

78.17% (

-0.01)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

24.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.5% (

0.01)

59.5% (

-0)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03% (

0.03)

36.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25% (

0.03)

73.76% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 46.01%

Fortaleza 26.9%

Draw 27.08%

Corinthians	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.01%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.9%