Brasileiro | Gameweek 29

Oct 25, 2023 at 11pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
3 - 2
America Mineiro

Erick (28'), Pablo (45'), Bueno (45+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Mastriani (12'), Martinez (77')
Nicolas (90+3')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and America Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, October 22 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

America Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	America Mineiro
57.39% ( -0.02)	22.67% ( 0.01)	19.93% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.64% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56% (

-0.02)

46.43% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28% (

-0.02)

68.71% (

0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.07% (

-0.02)

15.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.82% (

-0.03)

45.18% (

0.02)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.61% (

-0.01)

37.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.83% (

-0)

74.16% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 57.38%

America Mineiro 19.93%

Draw 22.67%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.67%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.93%