Brasileiro | Gameweek 31

Nov 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Raimundo Sampaio

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 1
Fortaleza

Paulinho (16', 16', 56', 56'), Hulk (61' pen., 61' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-2)

Martin Lucero (44', 44')
Escobar (51'), Escobar (51'), Rocha (88'), Rocha (88')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, October 29 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 LDU Quito (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 28 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
55.21% ( 0.03)	26.25% ( -0.02)	18.54% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 40.61% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.69% (

0.05)

61.31% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77% (

0.04)

81.23% (

-0.04)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56% (

0.03)

22.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03% (

0.05)

55.97% (

-0.05)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.35% (

0.02)

47.64% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.03% (

0.01)

82.97% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 55.2%

Fortaleza 18.54%

Draw 26.24%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 15.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 55.2%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.54%