Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana | Final
Oct 28, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
1 - 1
LDU Quito

Martin Lucero (48')
Alexandre (18'), Guilherme (41'), Marinho (52'), Britez (81')
FT
(aet)
Alzugaray (56')
Guerrero (36'), Piovi (99')
LDU Quito win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Fortaleza and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

LDU Quito

All competitions
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 LDU Quito
Wednesday, October 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6%).

Result
FortalezaDrawLDU Quito
60.14% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.76%17.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01)50.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)72.78% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69%46.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.5% (0.016000000000002 0.02)79.49% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 60.13%
    LDU Quito 17.1%
    Draw 22.76%
FortalezaDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 6%
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs LDU Quito

Fortaleza
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
LDU Quito
20.0%
15