Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 29, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Arena Corinthians
Santos

Corinthians
1 - 1
Santos

Lucas (57' og.)
Vera (35'), Moscardo (63'), Giuliano (67'), Santos (72'), Mendez (82'), Rojas (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendoza (90+9' pen.)
Rincon (28'), Leonardo (90+10')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Corinthians
Thursday, October 26 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 2-1 Coritiba
Friday, October 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Santos had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawSantos
57.17% (-0.697 -0.7)23.02% (0.188 0.19)19.82% (0.51 0.51)
Both teams to score 51.39% (0.257 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)48.02% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)70.19% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)16.56% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.67% (-0.488 -0.49)46.33% (0.487 0.49)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.59% (0.506 0.51)38.41% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (0.481 0.48)75.16% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 57.16%
    Santos 19.82%
    Draw 23.01%
CorinthiansDrawSantos
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 57.16%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 19.82%

Head to Head
Jun 22, 2023 12am
Gameweek 11
Santos
0-2
Corinthians

Fernandez (45+6'), Moreira (70')
Alberto (19'), Ruan (28')
Alberto (20'), Bidu (25'), Fagner (30'), Biro (45+3')
Oct 22, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 33
Santos
0-1
Corinthians
Guedes (89')
Jul 14, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Santos
1-0
Corinthians
Leonardo (67' pen.)
Fernandez (84'), Leonardo (85')

Queiroz (26'), Melo (40'), Gustavo (84')
Jun 25, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 14
Corinthians
0-0
Santos
Roni (3'), Adson (73'), Fagner (79')
Gabriel (23'), Fernandez (81'), Seco (90+5')
Jun 23, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Corinthians
4-0
Santos