/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fbahlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsanlog.png)
-
Camilo Candido
59'
-
Camilo Candido
59'
-
Lucas Mugni
90'+6'
-
Lucas Mugni
90'+6'
-
Marcos Leonardo
73'
-
Marcos Leonardo
73'
-
Joaquim
87'
-
Joaquim
88'
-
Lucas Lima
89'
-
Julio Furch
90'+4'
-
Julio Furch
90'+4'
Bahia vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result
Bahia
61.1%
▼
(-0.36)
Draw
22.1%
▼
(-0.50)
Santos
16.8%
▲
(+0.86)
Both Teams to Score:
48.75%
▲
(+3.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.26%
▲
(+3.37)
Under 2.5
48.74%
▼
(-3.36)
Over 3.5
29.16%
▲
(+2.98)
Under 3.5
70.85%
▼
(-2.98)
Over 4.5
14.09%
▲
(+1.99)
Under 4.5
85.91%
▼
(-1.98)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
84.52%
▲
(+1.04)
Under 0.5
15.48%
▼
(-1.04)
Over 1.5
55.65%
▲
(+1.90)
Under 1.5
44.35%
▼
(-1.90)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5
57.67%
▲
(+3.13)
Under 0.5
42.33%
▼
(-3.12)
Over 1.5
21.28%
▲
(+2.58)
Under 1.5
78.72%
▼
(-2.57)
Score analysis
Bahia
61.09%
Draw
22.1%
Santos
16.8%
Bahia
1-0
@
12.22%
▼
(-1.29)
2-0 @ 11.4% ▼ (-0.77)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.34)
4-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.35)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.20)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-92.44)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 61.09%
2-0 @ 11.4% ▼ (-0.77)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.34)
4-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.35)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.20)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-92.44)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 61.09%
Draw
1-1
@
10.5%
▼
(-0.16)
0-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.96)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.43)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.1%
0-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.96)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.43)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.1%
Santos
0-1
@
5.63%
▼
(-0.29)
1-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-98.30)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.8%
1-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-98.30)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.8%