Brasileiro | Gameweek 27

Oct 20, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
3 - 3
Corinthians

Lima (22', 22', 56', 56'), Arias (84', 84')
Marcelo (29'), Marcelo (29'), Melo (33'), Melo (33'), Cano (48'), Cano (48'), Thiago (64'), Thiago (64'), Lima (71'), Lima (71'), Diniz (90+1'), Diniz (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-6)

Alberto (10', 10', 27', 27'), Santos (32' pen., 32' pen.)
Maycon (19'), Maycon (19'), Pedrinho (36'), Pedrinho (36'), Alberto (41'), Alberto (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, October 8 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.62%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Corinthians
64.17% ( -0.02)	22.32% ( 0.01)	13.5% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 40.87% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.7% (

-0.02)

55.3% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48% (

-0.02)

76.51% (

0.02)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3% (

-0.01)

16.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.42% (

-0.02)

46.58% (

0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.06% (

50.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.7%

85.3%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 64.16%

Corinthians 13.5%

Draw 22.31%

Fluminense	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.62% 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 64.16%	1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.31%	0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 13.5%