Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Internacional (Brasil)

Fluminense
2 - 2
Internacional

Cano (10', 10', 78', 78')
Xavier (40'), Xavier (40'), Alexsander (90+3'), Alexsander (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mallo (45+5', 45+5'), Patrick (64', 64')
Cardoso (43'), Cardoso (43'), Lucca (80'), Lucca (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Internacional
Thursday, September 21 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawInternacional
61.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)22.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)15.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 44.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)53.6% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (0.0039999999999978 0)75.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83%17.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.42% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.62%46.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.99%82.01% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 61.07%
    Internacional 15.93%
    Draw 22.99%
FluminenseDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 14.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.36%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 7.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 61.07%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.14%
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.06%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 15.93%

Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Fluminense
2-0
Internacional
Cano (25'), Martinelli (40')
Cano (10'), Keno (45+2')

de Pena (50'), Campanharo (69'), Mercado (71')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 22
Internacional
3-0
Fluminense
Bustos (36'), Alemao (71'), De Pena (90+3')
Brito (71')

Marrony (89')
Apr 23, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Fluminense
0-1
Internacional

Braz (43'), Claro (60'), Fred (87'), Calegari (90+3'), Arias (90+4')
Alemao (54')
David (65'), Brito (90+1'), Dourado (90+4')
Nov 25, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Fluminense
1-0
Internacional
Marlon (23'), Martins (56'), Yago (72'), Calegari (90'), Manoel (90+1')
Cuesta (54'), Dourado (82')
> Preview
Aug 16, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Internacional
4-2
Fluminense
Edenilson (8', 90+3'), Alberto (59'), Guerrero (90+5')
Yago (45'), Nino (84')
> Preview