Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
Fluminense

Internacional
1 - 2
Fluminense

Mercado (10', 10')
Henrique (77'), Henrique (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kennedy (81', 81'), Cano (87', 87')
Martinelli (70'), Martinelli (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Internacional and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, October 1 at 1am in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Fluminense
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawFluminense
43.15% (0.037999999999997 0.04)25.68% (0.004999999999999 0)31.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.03% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)49.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)71.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)29.83% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.064 -0.06)65.91% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 43.15%
    Fluminense 31.17%
    Draw 25.67%
InternacionalDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 31.17%

How you voted: Internacional vs Fluminense

Internacional
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Fluminense
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fluminense
2-2
Internacional
Cano (10', 78')
Xavier (40'), Alexsander (90+3')
Xavier (45')
Mallo (45+5'), Patrick (64')
Cardoso (43'), Lucca (80')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Fluminense
2-0
Internacional
Cano (25'), Martinelli (40')
Cano (10'), Keno (45+2')

de Pena (50'), Campanharo (69'), Mercado (71')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 22
Internacional
3-0
Fluminense
Bustos (36'), Alemao (71'), De Pena (90+3')
Brito (71')

Marrony (89')
Apr 23, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Fluminense
0-1
Internacional

Braz (43'), Claro (60'), Fred (87'), Calegari (90+3'), Arias (90+4')
Alemao (54')
David (65'), Brito (90+1'), Dourado (90+4')
Nov 25, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Fluminense
1-0
Internacional
Marlon (23'), Martins (56'), Yago (72'), Calegari (90'), Manoel (90+1')
Cuesta (54'), Dourado (82')
> Preview