Brasileiro | Gameweek 26

Oct 8, 2023 at 1am UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
1 - 1
Flamengo

Santos (79' pen., 79' pen.)
Moscardo (33'), Moscardo (33'), Verissimo (52'), Verissimo (52'), Fagner (58'), Fagner (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gerson (54', 54')
Pulgar (41'), Pulgar (41'), Pereira (77'), Pereira (77'), Henrique (90+4'), Henrique (90+4')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, October 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Flamengo
33.1% ( -1.26)	26.63% ( -0.17)	40.26% ( 1.43)

Both teams to score 51.66% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.77% (

0.45)

53.23% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

0.38)

74.79% (

-0.38)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

-0.59)

30.21% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62% (

-0.71)

66.38% (

0.71)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

0.99)

25.97% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

1.32)

60.98% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 33.1%

Flamengo 40.26%

Draw 26.63%

Corinthians	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.1%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.26%