Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.