Brasileiro | Gameweek 25

Sep 30, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Corinthians

Calleri (40', 45+2')
Rato (24'), Calleri (45+3'), Beraldo (52'), Rafinha (55'), Neves (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Romero (3')
Romero (33'), Silva (38')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Coritiba
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.89%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
65.7% ( 2.13)	21.62% ( -0.77)	12.68% ( -1.36)

Both teams to score 40.65% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.67% (

0.22)

54.33% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28% (

0.18)

75.72% (

-0.19)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15% (

0.79)

15.85% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.95% (

1.44)

45.05% (

-1.44)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.31% (

-2.03)

51.69% (

2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.2% (

-1.38)

85.8% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 65.69%

Corinthians 12.68%

Draw 21.62%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 65.69%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.62%	0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.2% Total : 12.68%