Brasileiro | Gameweek 27

Oct 20, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
1 - 3
Bragantino

Ortiz (86' og., 86' og.)
Paulo (26'), Paulo (27'), Lucas (44'), Lucas (44'), Lucas (45'), Lucas (45'), Moreira (66'), Moreira (66'), Nonato (90+6'), Nonato (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Sasha (9', 9', 29' pen., 29' pen.), Ramires (47', 47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-2 Santos
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Bragantino

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Santos had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Bragantino
34.39% ( 0.04)	25.95% ( 0.02)	39.66% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.15% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

-0.06)

50.17% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

-0.05)

72.13% (

0.05)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

-0)

27.9% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

-0)

63.51% (

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11% (

-0.05)

24.9% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

-0.08)

59.51% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Santos 34.39%

Bragantino 39.66%

Draw 25.95%

Santos	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.39%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.66%