/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcorlog.png)
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Joaquim
4'
-
Matheus Bianqui
4'
-
Joaquim
42'
-
Joaquim
42'
-
Marcos Leonardo
73'
-
Marcos Leonardo
73'
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Julio Furch
86'
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Julio Furch
86'
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Willian Farias
8'
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Willian Farias
8'
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Robson
11'
-
Robson
11'
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Robson
36'
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Robson
36'
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Willian Farias
38'
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Willian Farias
38'
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Matheus Bianqui
60'
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Matheus Bianqui
60'
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Fransergio
71'
-
Fransergio
71'
Santos vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
Result
Santos
50.8%
▼
(-0.52)
Draw
25.18%
▲
(+0.44)
Coritiba
24.02%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
50.31%
▼
(-1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.78%
▼
(-1.68)
Under 2.5
52.22%
▲
(+1.68)
Over 3.5
26.07%
▼
(-1.47)
Under 3.5
73.92%
▲
(+1.47)
Over 4.5
12.05%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 4.5
87.95%
▲
(+0.96)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5
79.44%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 0.5
20.56%
▲
(+0.88)
Over 1.5
46.91%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 1.5
53.09%
▲
(+1.41)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5
63.34%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 0.5
36.66%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 1.5
26.55%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 1.5
73.45%
▲
(+0.87)
Score analysis
Santos
50.8%
Draw
25.17%
Coritiba
24.02%
Santos
1-0
@
11.92%
▲
(+0.48)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.8%
2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.8%
Draw
1-1
@
11.96%
▲
(+0.21)
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.49)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.17%
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.49)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.17%
Coritiba
0-1
@
7.56%
▲
(+0.33)
1-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.02%