Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Corinthians.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Corinthians |
| 37.45% | 27.79% | 34.76% |
| Both teams to score 48.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% | 78.3% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% | 65.63% |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% | 31.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% | 67.63% |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 37.45%
Corinthians 34.75%
Draw 27.79%
| Bahia | Draw | Corinthians |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.75% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Corinthians
Bahia
16.7%Draw
0.0%Corinthians
83.3%6


