Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
Bahia

Corinthians
3 - 2
Bahia

Otero (17'), Medeiros de Moura (34'), Roni (34'), Gil (61')
Fagner (9'), Araos (13'), Vitor Xavier de Almeida (90+7'), Xavier (90+7')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Paraiba (36'), Bonifacio Saldanha Marinho (89'), Saldanha (89')
Ronaldo (44'), Paraiba (59')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawBahia
54.28%25.49%20.23%
Both teams to score 44.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.98%57.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.09%77.91%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94%21.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14%53.86%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.84%43.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.57%79.43%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 54.27%
    Bahia 20.23%
    Draw 25.49%
CorinthiansDrawBahia
1-0 @ 14.15%
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 4.81%
4-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 5%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.23%