Brasileiro | Gameweek 36

Nov 29, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
2 - 4
Corinthians

Luis Rodriguez (3', 3'), Vegetti (25', 25')
Capasso (68'), Capasso (68'), Piton (76'), Piton (76'), Vegetti (90+8'), Vegetti (90+8')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Romero (13', 13', 45', 45'), Moscardo (61', 61'), Giovane (90+4', 90+4')
Alberto (68'), Alberto (68'), Miguel (90+5')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 0-0 Vasco
Saturday, November 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Corinthians

All competitions

Last Game: Corinthians 1-5 Bahia
Saturday, November 25 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Corinthians
61.76% ( -0.7)	23.44% ( 0.43)	14.79% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 40.88% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

-1.08)

57.03% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

-0.88)

77.92% (

0.87)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83% (

-0.65)

18.17% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

-1.12)

49.16% (

1.11)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.96% (

-0.27)

50.03% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.32% (

-0.19)

84.68% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 61.76%

Corinthians 14.79%

Draw 23.44%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.5% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 13.22% 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 61.76%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.45% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.6% Total : 14.79%