Brasileiro | Gameweek 35

Nov 25, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
0 - 0
Vasco

Cuello (45+2')

Maicon (54'), Pele (62'), Gomes (75'), Bambu (90+1')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-2 Vasco
Wednesday, November 22 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Vasco da Gama
49.81% ( 0.39)	25.44% ( -0.03)	24.75% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.34% (

-0.17)

52.67% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69% (

-0.14)

74.31% (

0.15)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

0.1)

21.16% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

0.15)

54.03% (

-0.15)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.74% (

-0.4)

36.26% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.95% (

-0.41)

73.05% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 49.8%

Vasco da Gama 24.75%

Draw 25.44%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.8%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.75%