Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 34
Nov 12, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
America Mineiro

Vasco
2 - 1
America Mineiro

Vegetti (4'), Payet (90+4')
Henrique (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mastriani (13')
Kal (66')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and America Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Botafogo
Monday, November 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro

America Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-3 Coritiba
Wednesday, November 8 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawAmerica Mineiro
59.96% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)22.27% (0.149 0.15)17.77% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.135 -0.13)47.87% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.124 -0.12)70.05% (0.122 0.12)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (-0.199 -0.2)15.56% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (-0.369 -0.37)44.5% (0.367 0.37)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.292 0.29)40.63% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.262 0.26)77.23% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 59.96%
    America Mineiro 17.77%
    Draw 22.27%
Vasco da GamaDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 6.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 59.96%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.27%
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.77% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.77%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 12am
Gameweek 15
America Mineiro
0-1
Vasco

Martinez (35'), Mendez (80'), Azevedo (90+8')
Maidana (45+5'), Azevedo (90+9')
Jair (90+1')
Piton (49'), Serginho (81')
Sep 7, 2018 12am
Gameweek 23
America Mineiro
2-1
Vasco
Carlinhos (31'), Magrao (80')
Ferraz (76')
Lopez (78' pen.)
Desabato (36')
May 5, 2018 11pm
Vasco
4-1
America Mineiro
Cosendey (57'), Monteiro (63'), Rios (79'), Kelvin (91')
Galhardo (31'), Rios (59'), Wellington (67'), Wagner (73')
Moura (31' pen.)
Wesley (33'), Norberto (52'), Moura (59')