America Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 28, 2023 at 11pm UK
Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
Gremio

America Mineiro
3 - 4
Gremio

Rodriguinho (3'), Mastriani (35', 49')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Reinaldo (17' pen.), Galdino (20'), Suarez (71'), Cristaldo (78')
Pepe (75'), Grando (90')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 3-2 America Mineiro
Wednesday, October 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Thursday, October 26 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
America MineiroDrawGremio
40.92% (-0.198 -0.2)26.69% (0.097000000000001 0.1)32.39% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.359 -0.36)53.63% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.304 -0.3)75.13% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27)25.8% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (-0.362 -0.36)60.75% (0.357 0.36)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)30.89% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.133 -0.13)67.18% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 40.91%
    Gremio 32.39%
    Draw 26.69%
America MineiroDrawGremio
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.91%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.39%

Head to Head
Jun 22, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 11
Gremio
3-1
America Mineiro
Cavichioli (40' og.), Villasanti (61'), Suarez (69')
Avelar (25')
Eder (9'), Henrique (82')
Eder (35')
Nov 13, 2021 9.30pm
Gameweek 32
America Mineiro
3-1
Gremio
Azevedo (4'), Ademir (45+4' pen.), Juninho (47')
Silva (32'), Cavichioli (35'), Zarate (45+5')
Ferreira (55')
Ruan (37')
Jul 24, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 13
Gremio
1-1
America Mineiro
Alecsander Machado Guedes (7')
Henrique (63'), Mendes (90+4'), Rafinha (90+5')
Azevedo (31')
Vitor (32'), Ruschel (74'), Ramon (85')
Oct 20, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 30
America Mineiro
1-1
Gremio
Juninho (37')
Pyerre (66' pen.)
Jun 10, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 11
Gremio
1-0
America Mineiro
Everton (32')
Cicero (25'), Everton (87')

Aylon (6'), Giovanni (36'), Aderlan (80')