Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Oct 21, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Gremio

Sao Paulo
3 - 0
Gremio

Araujo (21'), Maia (68'), Luciano (90+7')
Maia (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kannemann (21'), Josue (69'), Suarez (89')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Gremio 1-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, October 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawGremio
57.12% (0.059999999999995 0.06)23.72% (0.087 0.09)19.16% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (-0.532 -0.53)51.71% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-0.464 -0.46)73.49% (0.464 0.46)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (-0.173 -0.17)17.91% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29% (-0.301 -0.3)48.7% (0.303 0.3)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (-0.469 -0.47)41.27% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (-0.418 -0.42)77.79% (0.419 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 57.12%
    Gremio 19.16%
    Draw 23.71%
Sao PauloDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 57.12%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.16%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Gremio
2-1
Sao Paulo
Cristaldo (31' pen.), Reinaldo (39')
Reinaldo (82'), Mila (88')
Calleri (15')
Franco (29')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 35
Gremio
3-0
Sao Paulo
Thiago (23'), Barbosa (68'), Robert (90+4')
Costa (74'), Grando (85'), Borja (90+3')

Rigoni (60'), Miranda (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 1am
Gameweek 16
Sao Paulo
2-1
Gremio
Reinaldo (18'), Alves (21'), Gomes (61')
Geromel (12'), Felipe Scolari (61')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 36
Gremio
1-2
Sao Paulo
Souza (33')
Doin (59'), Souza (90'), Alisson (90+2'), Pinares (90+8'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pinares (90+10')
Tche (63'), Luciano (68')
Carneiro (59'), Alves (75'), Vinicius (81'), Tche (90')
Dec 31, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Sao Paulo
0-0
Gremio