Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Goias had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.