Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Vasco da Gama
48.63% ( -0)	26.55%	24.82% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.15% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.25% (

56.75% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

77.7% (

-0)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

-0)

23.39% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

-0)

57.38%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.55% (

38.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.8% (

75.2% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 48.63%

Vasco da Gama 24.82%

Draw 26.54%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.63%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 24.82%