Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Nov 18, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Cruzeiro

Fortaleza
0 - 1
Cruzeiro

Machuca (28')
Welison (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodrigues (80')
Autuori (16'), Nikao (47'), Japa (65')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 2-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Cruzeiro
Saturday, November 11 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawCruzeiro
44.32% (0.5 0.5)27.74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)27.93% (-0.467 -0.47)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.84% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)59.15% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.41% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)79.59% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (0.22 0.22)26.56% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (0.288 0.29)61.77% (-0.287 -0.29)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)37.11% (0.425 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.423 -0.42)73.9% (0.425 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 44.32%
    Cruzeiro 27.93%
    Draw 27.74%
FortalezaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.93%

Head to Head
Jun 21, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 11
Cruzeiro
0-1
Fortaleza

Castan (14'), Pepa (25'), Machado (44'), Wallisson (83'), Marlon (90+5')
Martin Lucero (80')
Guilherme (45+2'), Welison (45'), Britez (73'), Alexandre (90+6')
Oct 27, 2019 1am
Gameweek 28
Cruzeiro
1-1
Fortaleza
Manuel Orejuela (80')
Jadson (35'), Caca (39'), Robinho (47')
Paulista (83')
Felipe (33')
Jun 13, 2019 1am
Gameweek 9
Fortaleza
2-1
Cruzeiro
Luis (3', 45')
Ribeiro (50')
Ribeiro (64')
Sassa (11')
Leo (21'), Dodo (35'), Cabral (45'), Dede (50'), Robinho (51'), Romero (73')