Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Helibelton Palacios 38' yellowcard
  • Wesley 68' yellowcard
  • Wesley 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Maia 3'
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 39'
  • goal Pedro 44'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 78'

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Oct 15, 2023 1.00am
Cuiaba 0 - 0 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bruno Rodrigues

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 1.00am
Corinthians 1 - 1 Flamengo
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result

Cruzeiro 37.05% (-0.01)
Draw 26.66% (+0.31)
Flamengo 36.28% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

52% (-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47% (-1.28)
Under 2.5 52.99% (+1.27)
Over 3.5 25.41% (-1.10)
Under 3.5 74.59% (+1.10)
Over 4.5 11.62% (-0.71)
Under 4.5 88.38% (+0.71)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 72.34% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 27.65% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 36.8% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 63.2% (+0.79)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 71.88% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 28.11% (+0.79)
Over 1.5 36.21% (-1.01)
Under 1.5 63.78% (+1.01)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 37.05%
Draw 26.66%
Flamengo 36.28%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 9.99% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.42% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.77% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.15)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.66%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 9.86% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.26% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 36.28%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 27, 2023 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Ayrton Lucas 33' goal
  • goal Marlon 5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Sep 21, 2019 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)
  • Thiago Neves 38' goal
  • Luis Manuel Orejuela 72' yellowcard
  • Fred 86' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 7'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 26'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 67'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 28, 2019 1.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Para 25' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 41' goal
  • Leo Duarte 50' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 67' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90' goal
  • Diego 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 5'
  • goal Pedro Rocha 40'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 52'
  • yellowcard Edilson Mendes 62'
  • yellowcard Fred 79'
  • redcard Murilo Cerqueira 85'
  • yellowcard Thiago Neves 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Nov 25, 2018 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alejandro Cabral 10' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 15' yellowcard
  • Robinho 50' yellowcard
  • Fred 67' yellowcard
  • Dede 84' yellowcard
  • Edilson Mendes 91' yellowcard
  • goal Everton Ribeiro 8'
  • yellowcard Fernando Uribe 32'
  • yellowcard Rene 42'
  • goal Everton Ribeiro 52'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cuellar 67'
Copa Libertadores
Aug 30, 2018 1.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thiago Neves 91' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 92' yellowcard
  • Raniel 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rene 42'
  • yellowcard Leo Duarte 59'
  • yellowcard Rodinei 67'
  • goal Leo Duarte 70'
  • yellowcard Diego 904'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 12, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Henrique Dourado 9' yellowcard
  • Henrique Dourado 23' goal
  • Lucas Paqueta 39' yellowcard
  • Diego Alves 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Cabral 45'
  • yellowcard Raniel 63'
  • yellowcard Giorgian De Arrascaeta 81'