Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
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-
Erik De Los Santos
18'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Rodrigo Odriozola
68'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Santiago Mederos
90'+1'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
19'
-
Camilo Mayada
34'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
39'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
Racing de Montevideo vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result
Racing de Montevideo
19.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
25.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Penarol
55.18%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
44.18%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
57.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
21.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
78.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
9.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
90.59%
▲
(+0.02)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5
55.79%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
44.21%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
19.7%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
80.3%
▲
(+0.06)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
79.18%
Under 0.5
20.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
46.51%
Under 1.5
53.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Racing de Montevideo
19.47%
Draw
25.34%
Penarol
55.18%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0
@
7.51%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.47%
2-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.47%
Draw
1-1
@
11.78%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.34%
0-0 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.34%
Penarol
0-1
@
14.44%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 55.18%
0-2 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 55.18%
Head to Head
-
Ignacio Nicolini
3'
-
Nicolas Sosa
9'
-
German Ferreyra
29'
-
Nicolas Sosa
53'
-
Michel Araujo
74'
-
Javier Irazun
90'
-
Lucas Viatri
29'
-
Gabriel Rojas
38'
-
Matias de los Santos
52'
-
Agustin Canobbio
64'
-
Matias de los Santos
76'
-
Ezequiel Busquets
87'