Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 16, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Parque Osvaldo Roberto
Penarol

Racing
1 - 2
Penarol

Veron (72')
De Los Santos (18'), Varela (63'), Odriozola (68'), Rivero (83'), Mederos (90+1'), Monzon (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sequeira (19', 39')
Mayada (34'), Sequeira (66'), Darias (70')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 4-3 Racing
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 3-0 Cerro
Saturday, March 9 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawPenarol
19.47% (-0.035 -0.04)25.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)55.18% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.18% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)57.35% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)78.17% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)44.21% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.7% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)80.3% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51%53.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 19.47%
    Penarol 55.18%
    Draw 25.34%
Racing de MontevideoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 14.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 11.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.93% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 2.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 55.18%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
1-1
Racing
Arezo (71')
Arezo (53'), Hernandez (56')
Veron (75')
Magallanes (11'), Lemos (53'), Mejia (72'), Urreta (76')
May 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 14
Racing
0-2
Penarol
Oct 17, 2019 8pm
Racing
3-3
Penarol
Sosa (9', 53'), Araujo (74')
Nicolini (3'), Irazun (90')
Ferreyra (29')
Viatri (29' pen.), De los Santos (52', 76')
Rojas (38'), Canobbio (64'), Busquets (87')
Mar 23, 2019 10pm
Penarol
2-2
Racing
Acevedo (4'), Rodriguez (90')
Hernandez (76'), Pereira (81'), Rodriguez (81')
Araujo (52'), Sosa (55')
Nicolini (15'), Rodriguez (65'), Quinones (74')
Jul 21, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 1
Penarol
1-1
Racing
Fernandez (1')
Matheu (66')
Araujo (19' pen.)
Lacoste (37'), Cayetano (45'), Bonifazi (49')
Bonifazi (51')
rhs 2.0


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