Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Mar 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol

Rampla
0 - 3
Penarol


Anasco (55'), Gabriel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coelho (45+1'), Fernandez (76' pen.), Babi (82')
Rodriguez (47')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Rampla Juniors and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rampla Juniors

Last Game: Rampla 2-1 Fenix
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, February 24 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Rampla JuniorsDrawPenarol
20.39% (0.282 0.28)24.96% (-0.154 -0.15)54.64% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.52% (0.816 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.06% (0.87 0.87)54.94% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (0.714 0.71)76.22% (-0.714 -0.71)
Rampla Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.21% (0.81 0.81)41.79% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.75% (0.698 0.7)78.25% (-0.699 -0.7)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.294 0.29)20.08% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (0.467 0.47)52.31% (-0.468 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Rampla Juniors 20.39%
    Penarol 54.64%
    Draw 24.96%
Rampla JuniorsDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 5.13% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 3.19% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.49% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.2% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 20.39%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 13.47% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-2 @ 10.81% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 54.64%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2019 12am
Rampla
1-2
Penarol
Nunez (79')
Rizzo (53'), Diaz (68'), Beltran (90')
Soto (71')
Martinez (39'), Formiliano (45')
Martinez (26'), Rojas (31'), Pereira (48')
Feb 23, 2019 11pm
Penarol
5-0
Rampla
Fernandez (11'), Rodriguez (69'), Hernandez (82'), Rodriguez (85'), Acevedo (90')
Canobbio (16'), Fernandez (38'), Gonzalez (72')

Felipe (18'), Martinez (38'), Pereira (44'), Saavedra (67'), Melazzi (71')
Melazzi (73')
Oct 7, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 11
Rampla
1-0
Penarol
Coccaro (45')
Soto (4'), Rocha (8'), Candido (33'), Odriozola (57'), Rizzo (68'), Burbano (91')

Hernandez (92')
Apr 8, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-1
Rampla
Canobbio (3'), Rodriguez (17')
Varela (25'), Formiliano (43'), Arias (84')
Martinones (60' pen.)
Techera (22'), de Leon (31'), Felipe (50'), Soto (64'), Galli (73')
de Leon (91')