Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
4
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-
Maximiliano Silvera
3'
-
Javier Cabrera
23'
-
Guzman Rodriguez
30'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
81'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
90'
-
Martin Gonzalez
23'
-
Ignacio Pallas
33'
-
Martin Rabunal
37'
-
Brandon Llana
54'
-
Mathias Abero
69'
-
Martin Gonzalez
78'
Penarol vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result
Penarol
50.96%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
28.88%
Cerro
20.16%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
36.85%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
32.57%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
67.43%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
14.45%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
85.55%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
5.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
94.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
72.86%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
27.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
37.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
62.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5
50.57%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
49.43%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
15.74%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
84.26%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Penarol
50.94%
Draw
28.87%
Cerro
20.16%
Penarol
1-0
@
17.49%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 11.4% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 50.94%
2-0 @ 11.4% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 50.94%
Draw
0-0
@
13.41%
▲
(+0.03)
1-1 @ 12.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 28.87%
1-1 @ 12.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 28.87%
Cerro
0-1
@
9.45%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.16%