Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.