Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Talleres in this match.