Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 35.29%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.03%) and 2-1 (6.66%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.