Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 41.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 28.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.