Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.