Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 40.75%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.33%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.