Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.06%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.