Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.9%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.