Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.85%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.