Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.4%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.