Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8

Mar 2, 2024 at 10.15pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
2 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Palacio (31' og.), Maestro Puch (59')
Avalos (53'), Luna (72'), Isla (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Veron (29')
Alvarez (24'), Guede (25'), Lescano (42'), Vega (50'), Gabriel Montiel (76')
Alvarez (90+3')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: New England 3-0 Independiente
Friday, March 1 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-1 Platense
Monday, February 26 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
37.67% ( 0.04)	30.5% ( -0.01)	31.83% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 40.55% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.15% (

0.03)

66.85% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.84% (

0.02)

85.16% (

-0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74% (

0.04)

34.25% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

0.04)

70.95% (

-0.04)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

-0)

38.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.92% (

-0)

75.08% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Independiente 37.66%

Argentinos Juniors 31.83%

Draw 30.49%

Independiente	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 14.06% 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.66%	1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.49%	0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 31.83%