CONCACAF Champions League
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Luis Fields
12'
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Luis Fields
12'
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Javier Joel De la Espada Lewis
48'
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Javier De la Espada
48'
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Jefferson Murillo
51'
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Jefferson Murillo
51'
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Giacomo Vrioni
28'
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Giacomo Vrioni
28'
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Tomas Chancalay
54'
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Tomas Chancalay
54'
Independiente vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Independiente win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result
Independiente
14.66%
▲
(+0.65)
Draw
18.42%
▲
(+0.20)
New England Revolution
66.92%
▼
(-0.84)
Both Teams to Score:
56.26%
▲
(+1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.68%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 2.5
36.32%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 3.5
41.55%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 3.5
58.45%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 4.5
23.4%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 4.5
76.6%
▼
(-0.50)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5
62.54%
▲
(+1.24)
Under 0.5
37.46%
▼
(-1.24)
Over 1.5
25.75%
▲
(+1.20)
Under 1.5
74.25%
▼
(-1.20)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5
89.97%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
10.03%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
66.9%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
33.1%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Independiente
14.66%
Draw
18.42%
New England Revolution
66.92%
Independiente
2-1
@
4.17%
▲
(+0.16)
1-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 14.66%
1-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 14.66%
Draw
1-1
@
8.48%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.42%
2-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.42%
New England Revolution
0-2
@
9.94%
▼
(-0.32)
1-2 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.26)
0-3 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.17)
1-4 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.07)
0-5 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.09)
1-5 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.05%
Total : 66.92%
1-2 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.26)
0-3 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.17)
1-4 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.07)
0-5 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.09)
1-5 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.05%
Total : 66.92%